What are the key components of economic growth

Vietnam’s gross domestic product (GDP) is hoped to grow 6.46% in the third scenario when the global economy will see positive changes, and Vietnam will take drastic actions in reform and management (Photo: VietnamPlus) Hanoi (VNA) – The Central Institute for Economic Management ( CIEM ) put forwards three scenarios for Vietnam’s economic growth in 2023 at a seminar in Hanoi on July 10 to announce a report on the domestic economy in the first half of this year, and prospects for the second half. Specifically, Vietnam’s gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow 5.34% this year under the first scenario. The first scenario assumes the global economic development matches assessments of international organisations and Vietnam, under which the country’s export turnover is projected to drop by 5.64%, and its consumer price index (CPI) will rise 3.43%, with a trade surplus of 9.1 billion USD. Under the second as, given monetary and fiscal easing in Vietnam , the GDP … [Read more...] about CIEM forecasts three economic growth scenarios for Vietnam in 2023

Gemalink Deep-Sea Port in Ba Rịa - Vung Tau province (Photo: VNA) Hanoi (VNA) - The Ministry of Planning and Investment has outlined three potential economic growth scenarios for 2024 , with the highest GDP growth rate forecast at 6.5%. These projections stem from the Government's socio-economic development strategy for the 2021-25 period, combined with endeavours to meet the 2023 growth goal of 6.5%. Given the challenges faced by the Vietnamese economy between 2021-23, 2024 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for Vietnam to accomplish the objectives of its five-year plan. In the first scenario, Vietnam's GDP is predicted to rise by 6%. This estimate presumes that global growth will be moderate in 2023 and the resurgence of global trade and investment will continue to face hurdles. Although the domestic market and services sector might exhibit robust growth, the import, export, and industrial production sectors may not experience a marked recovery due to their … [Read more...] about Ministry projects three economic growth scenarios for 2024

Vietnam has maintained a consistent upward trajectory since 2015, reflecting the government's efforts to restructure the economy toward full market-oriented development and international integration. Vietnam has climbed four places to secure the 106th position out of 165 countries and territories in the Economic Freedom of the World index, according to the Canada-based Fraser Institute. Manufacturing of mechanical products at Tam Hop Company in Soc Son District, Hanoi. Photo: Viet Linh/The Hanoi Times The Economic Freedom of the World index evaluates the extent to which policies and institutions support economic freedom. It is published annually by the Fraser Institute in collaboration with the Economic Freedom Network, a coalition of independent research and educational institutions covering nearly 100 countries and territories. Singapore currently leads the world in economic freedom, followed by Hong Kong (China), Switzerland, New Zealand, the US, and … [Read more...] about Vietnam moves up 4 places in Economic Freedom of World index

The one-day forum featured one opening and two thematic sessions, and one plenary session - high-level dialogue. In his closing speech, National Assembly Chairman Vuong Dinh Hue said in terms of internal capacity and motivations of the economy, delegates opined that it is essential to develop the production sectors of the economy, including agriculture, industry and services; speed up the disbursement of public investment, stimulate consumption demand, develop the domestic market and improve labor productivity. He said they called for synchronous measures to tackle difficulties, restructure various markets, develop and tightly regulate currency, stock, insurance, corporate bond and real estate markets. It is also essential to promote goods distribution via digital platforms and e-commerce, and stimulate domestic tourism demand as well. According to experts, if 95% of the public investment plan for 2023 is disbursed, additional 2 percentage points to the GDP growth in 2023 will … [Read more...] about Vietnam Socio-Economic Forum 2023 wraps up

After every 10 years, the country’s GDP growth speed has reduced 1% compared to the previous period, said Thien, former head of the Vietnam Institute of Economics, at the "Raising strength, clearing resources and helping businesses" conference. The event was part of the Vietnam Socio-Economic Forum 2023 on Tuesday. The economist told the conference that one major cause of business sluggishness was that Vietnamese businesses have to pay interest rates two or three times higher than other countries. Another reason was firms’ limited access to bank loans, he said. Thien noted that by the end of August, credit growth was only 5.5%, less than half of this year’s goal (14%). On the matter of slow growth, director of the legal department of the Vietnam Confederation of Commerce and Industry Dau Anh Tuan said low quality infrastructure in Vietnam is still not able to meet the demands of economic growth. Moreover, he said high production costs have lowered competitiveness. This was … [Read more...] about Businesses resilient but grow too slowly

By 2025, a number of key drivers are expected to continue to make Vietnam one of the fastest-growing and most sustainable emerging markets. In addition to traditional growth drivers such as production, export, investment, and consumption, some new trends are set to become new driving forces for Vietnam's economic growth in the medium and long term. Firstly, the strong development of the digital economy. By completing the legal framework and overcoming the limitations in terms of infrastructure, human resources, innovation ecosystems, and network, information, and data security, Vietnam's digital economy is expected to continue to grow strongly up to 2030. Secondly, accelerating labour productivity and total factor productivity (TFP) is a driving force for Vietnam's economy to improve over the coming years, with predicted increases of about 4.5-5 per cent over the 2021-2025 period and 6-6.5 per cent from 2026 to 2030. TFP's contribution to GDP growth is forecast to reach about … [Read more...] about Calls for establishment of national productivity committee

Christina Bao, Co-Head of Sales & Marketing at the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX). — Photo courtesy of HKEX The Vietnamese stock market is a key capital mobilisation channel for the economy and is undergoing improvement and upgrading towards emerging status. Considered as Asia’s financial hub, Hong Kong is a role model for Việt Nam to follow. When Christina Bao, Co-Head of Sales & Marketing at the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX), came to Việt Nam for a conference, Việt Nam News reporter Ly Ly Cao took the opportunity to speak to her about solutions to enhance the country’s stock market and how Hong Kong can support Việt Nam in the upgrading process. What do you think about the Vietnamese stock market in its current state? Việt Nam’s economy is on very strong momentum in terms of GDP growth, which grew by more than 8 per cent last year and is hopefully to reach 6 per cent this year. This sets a very strong foundation for the local … [Read more...] about Hong Kong to help elevate Việt Nam’s stock market potential

Headquarters of the State Bank of Vietnam in Hà Nội. Some experts believe the SBV can still cut the policy interest rate further as its current priority is to lower interest rates to promote credit growth and support economic growth. — Photo sbv.gov.vn Experts have different forecasts about the time when the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) will lower its policy interest rate. While some experts expect the rate to decrease by 0.5-1 percentage point at the end of the third or fourth quarter of this year, others believe the rate will be kept unchanged. According to some experts, although rising pressure on the foreign exchange rate and inflation are the main factors affecting the SBV's ability to continue lowering the policy rates in the remaining months of this year, the SBV can still cut the rate further as its current priority is to lower interest rates to promote credit growth and support economic growth. Banking expert Nguyễn Trí Hiếu forecasts that deposit interest rates will … [Read more...] about Different forecasts made for policy interest rates in the rest of 2023

Japan's contributions have helped Vietnam maintain a stable growth trajectory, driven by the far-reaching effects of FDI. Vietnam needs industrialization support policies to encourage industrial development and increase the value added of foreign direct investment (FDI) capital, according to Professor Ikebe Ryo of Japan's Senshu University. Prof. Ikebe Ryo made the remarks at a scientific symposium titled "Vietnam-Japan Relations and Prospects for Economic Cooperation in line with Vietnam's Development Stages" held in Hanoi this week. He talked about the impact of FDI surge on Vietnam's economic growth and industrialization process, and the economic efficiency brought by this source of capital. The professor emphasized that improving labor productivity is essential for Vietnam to avoid falling into the middle-income trap. Experts attend the scientific symposium on Vietnam-Japan relations and prospects for economic cooperation. Photo: JICA Vietnam … [Read more...] about Vietnam needs policies to promote industrialization: Japanese professor

Panasonic Ecology Systems Co., Ltd. and Panasonic Life Solutions Vietnam Co. Ltd. have completed a new factory in Binh Duong province, southern Vietnam, and they will shortly start the production as of October 13. This is the first Panasonic factory that will manufacture indoor air quality (IAQ) products in Vietnam, aiming to improve air quality and increase local consumer’s quality of life. The factory will provide ceiling and ventilating fans for both the domestic and overseas markets, including Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, ahead in the next fiscal year ending in March 2023. As a main production hub for indoor air quality related devices in Southeast Asia, the Binh Duong factory will increase Panasonic’s production volume of these devices in the region to approximately 1.5 times in 2026 compared to 2021. A research and development (R&D) department is due to be established in 2024 in order to turn the factory into a site that integrates development, production, … [Read more...] about Panasonic set to launch indoor air quality products in Vietnam