Vietnam economy growth

The Government’s active stance to address macro challenges would fuel the stock market development in 2023. The benchmark Vn-Index is forecast to expand by 15% at the end of 2023 to hit 1,160 following a turbulent year for the stock market, according to SSI Securities Corporation (SSI). Investor at a securities company in Hanoi. Photo: Pham Hung The Vn-Index from its peak of 1,530 in early 2022 plummeted to a low of 874 in mid-November, a downturn which experts attributed to major events, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, arrests of business executives for market manipulation, and the Government’s tightening credit into high-risk fields. As of late 2022, however, the market’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was considered quite attractive with an estimated 9.2x, 35% lower than the average rate of 14.16x during the 2009-2022 period. SSI’s latest report also pointed out another positive factor in the expectation of a more stable value of the Vietnamese Dong … [Read more...] about Vn-Index set for steady growth in 2023

Inflationary pressure for Vietnam's economy in 2023 is high and comes from many factors, he said in an interview with the Vietnam News Agency (VNA). The demand-pull and cost-push inflation will put pressure on the country's efforts to control inflation amid surging demand and strengthening of the U.S. dollar which yields increased import prices. Demand for petrol and electricity – the two important commodities for production and consumption – will increase in 2023. The domestic electricity price has been kept unchanged for the past few years, while the price of coal and gas used in the production of electricity has increased, he said, noting that thermal and gas power account for a large proportion of the total generated electricity. Therefore, it is forecasted that the Government may raise the price of electricity this year. A hike in electricity prices will put pressure on inflation by increasing production costs and consumer spending, and at the same time reducing economic … [Read more...] about Vietnam faces inflationary pressure in 2023: expert

Foreign tourists visit Vietnam (Photo: VNA) HCM City (VNA) - Despite near-term trade headwinds, tourism has emerged as a source of growth for Vietnam to mitigate the challenges ahead in 2023, according to the “Vietnam at a glance” report released by HSBC on February 6. The report stressed that January’s data showed Vietnam continues to face difficulties in trade and the inflationary pressure of increasing prices. However, in spite of slowing trade, there are still pockets of resilience in Vietnam’s economy, and tourism will be a key one in 2023. Following its re-opening last March, Vietnam’s domestic tourism has been soaring, easily surpassing its 2022 target of 60 million to over 100 million tourists. Meanwhile, international tourism, which previously accounted for 60% of tourism receipts, saw a tepid recovery post COVID-19, with tourist arrivals reaching 3.6 million, only 20% of 2019’s level. But there are good reasons to expect a more meaningful recovery, in … [Read more...] about Tourism – a source of growth in Vietnam for 2023: HSBC

HSBC predicted in its latest report on Vietnam’s economy that the Southeast Asian country will see a recovery of the number of Chinese visitors by 50-80 percent in 2023 compared to the pre-pandemic volume. In other words, Vietnam is set to welcome three to 4.5 million Chinese tourists this year. The increasing return of Chinese tourists following China’s border reopening on January 8 will notably contribute to the growth of Vietnam’s tourism, which can be a key sector for the latter in 2023, offsetting the decline in trading and manufacturing, according to HSBC experts. In a broader view, the experts believe that the Vietnamese economy will witness a shift from goods to services, which they consider a driver for economic stability despite the trade slowdown. Red represents Chinese tourists as a percentage of the total number of international visitors to countries in Southeast Asia. After Vietnam resumed inbound and outbound tourism in March 2022, its domestic … [Read more...] about Chinese visitors to Vietnam to reach 3-4.5 million in 2023: HSBC

Illustrative image (Photo: VNA) Hanoi (VNA) – Vietnam’s GDP growth reaches 8.02% this year, a record high in the 2011-2022 period as the economy is recovering strongly, General Director of the General Statistics Office (GSO) Nguyen Thi Huong told a press conference in Hanoi on December 29. The agro-forestry-fishery sector expanded by 3.36%, contributing 5.11% to the total added value of the whole economy. The industry-construction sector grew by 7.78%, contributing 38.24% while the service industry rose by 9.99%, making a 56.55% contribution to the economy. About the economic structure 2022, the agro-forestry-fishery sector accounted for a proportion of 11.88%, industry and construction 38.26%, services 41.33% and product taxes, exclusive of product subsidies, 8.53%. With an annual growth of 7.18%, final consumption contributed to 49.32% of the general growth. Asset accumulation rose by 5.75%, contributing 22.59%, while trade in exports, imports and services adding … [Read more...] about Vietnam’s GDP expands by 8.02% in 2022

Seven international partners will support the investment in infrastructure, transport, urban development, and climate response. Nearly US$8 billion will be pumped into Vietnam's Central Coast region to support the socio-economic development of the region towards sustainability and climate adaptation. An overview of the signing and awarding ceremony. Photo: Trung Nhan/The Hanoi Times The value was announced at a signing ceremony held on February 5 between the Ministry of Planning and Investment and international partners. Accordingly, the local authorities granted investment certificates and approved investment policies and investment cooperation for domestic and international investors. Among the investment deals, seven development partners are committed to providing a total capital of more than US$1.7 billion in 45 projects. The partners included the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the French Development Agency (AFD), the International Fund for Agricultural … [Read more...] about $8 billion to be pumped into Vietnam’s Central Coast

Nguyen Minh Tuan, Founder of TOPI The risk of a world economic recession is reflected in the average GDP growth forecast of only 1.6-2.2 per cent, of which the US accounts for 0.5-1 per cent, the EU -0.5-0.2 per cent, and China 4-4.5 per cent. After plenty of efforts by central banks inflation has cooled down, but is still high. The common global inflation forecast in 2023 is 6.5-6.6 per cent, which is in line with forecasts from the International Monetary Fund and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Optimistic banks assessed that in the second quarter of 2023, inflation would decrease, and those with more pessimistic views forecasted that the decline would take place by the end of 2023. Of course, along with inflation, tight monetary policy will affect world economic growth. Accordingly, there are three scenarios for macroeconomic forecast in 2023. One is a negative scenario: persistent inflation and deep recession, with the following assumptions of … [Read more...] about Optimism abounds for more positive scenarios in macroeconomic forecasts

Nguyen Tri Hieu, Economist This had shown in financial markets: the stock market lost more than 30 per cent of its value; the corporate bond market and real estate market became frozen; the gold market fluctuated strongly; and banks scaled up interest rates to attract depositors. The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) then had to expand the credit room many times for banks in 2022 and by the end of the year had raised the credit ceiling to 15.5-16 per cent. In 2023, investors do expect the stock market to rally, and in fact the market did recover slightly before dropping again, showing that Vietnam’s financial market is still unstable. In this context, the bond market is still frozen. The Ministry of Finance is considering amending regulations on the corporate bond market to restore development. Meanwhile, the war between Russia and Ukraine continues to escalate and is likely to widen tensions. The world economy has been plagued with high inflation in many countries. In the US, … [Read more...] about Gauging efficient investment channels for the year

Illustrative image (Source: vneconomy.vn) Singapore (VNA) – The upcoming visit to Singapore by Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh is expected to open up important orientations for the bilateral ties, especially in digital technology and green transition, an expert has said. PM Chinh, his spouse, and a high-ranking delegation of Vietnam will pay an official visit to Singapore from February 8 to 10. In an interview granted to the Vietnam News Agency, Associate Professor Vu Minh Khuong from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy said the visit holds great significance. It takes place in the context of the two countries getting out of the COVID-19 pandemic with the hope for stronger growth, he explained, noting that their cooperation opportunities abound. The world is experiencing complex changes, and this prompts the two countries to conduct more regular and in-depth exchanges to reach common perceptions in order to sail through the challenges and tighten their … [Read more...] about PM Chinh’s Singapore visit to pave way for digital technology, green transition cooperation: expert

Workers making goods for export at a Gia Toc Garment Export factory in Ha Nam Province. — VNA/VNS Photo Tran Viet The profits of Vietnamese textile and garment enterprises were diverse in the fourth quarter, with many big names posting great losses. After being heavily impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, textile and garment enterprises have gradually recovered and were one of the key export industries that recorded extraordinary growth rates in the first months of 2022. Data from the General Department of Customs showed that the export value of the textiles and garments sector in 2022 reached US$37.57 billion, a gain of 14.7 per cent year-on-year. The US is the biggest import market of Vietnamese textile and garments, worth $17.36 billion last year, up 7.9 per cent. It was followed by the Europe Union and Japanese markets, reaching $4.46 billion and $4.07 billion, up 34.7 and 25.8 per cent, respectively. Although the industry saw positive export prospects in the first and … [Read more...] about Textile industry faces headwinds in 2023 after poor results in Q4