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/ July 22, 2020

Data | Why India’s trade surplus in June is not a good sign

On July 15, Union Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal tweeted that India had recorded a trade surplus in June for the first time in 18 years. A trade surplus occurs when the value of exports exceeds that of imports.

Rapid Turnaround of Exports: Realising PM @NarendraModi ji’s vision of Atmanirbhar Bharat, for the first time in 18 years, India records a monthly goods trade surplus in June!https://t.co/Bb0Lryjzg5 pic.twitter.com/y1pDhp0kvi

— Piyush Goyal (@PiyushGoyal) July 15, 2020

The surplus came at a time when there was a sharp fall in total trade. This was mainly because of a steeper fall in imports compared to that of exports, triggered by a major drop in domestic demand largely due to the pandemic.

Trade history

The chart shows India’s total trade (blue bar) and trade balance (exports-imports, in red) between June 2019 and June 2020. Total trade declined after January and was the lowest in April before picking up in May and June. Trade deficit reduced consistently from January and recorded a surplus in June.

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The country recorded a trade surplus of $793 million in June, after registering a deficit of $3.1 billion in May.

Selling less

The chart shows the monthly import and export values since June 2019. Both imports and exports (in absolute terms) declined steeply in April during the lockdown. While both exports and imports improved in May, imports contracted yet again in June due to tepid demand in the economy, which led to the trade surplus.

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In May, the country’s total exports were valued at $19 billion, while imports were worth $22 billion, over $1 billion more than that in June.

Commodity-wise exports

The chart plots the value (in $) of major commodities exported in the April-June quarter (Q1) of FY21 against its change (%) compared to Q1 of FY20. The exports of only four commodities grew.

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image/svg+xml

 

Commodity-wise imports

The chart plots the value (in $) of major commodities imported in the April-June quarter (Q1) of FY21 against its change (%) compared to Q1 of FY20. Imports of all listed commodities declined.

Viewing in app? Click to view the chart

image/svg+xml

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Data | Why India's trade surplus in June is not a good sign have 454 words, post on www.thehindu.com at July 22, 2020. This is cached page on Talk Vietnam. If you want remove this page, please contact us.

Filed Under: Data trade surplus, india trade surplus june, trade balance india, india china trade balance, india trade balance usd, piyush goyal trade balance, piyush goy

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